Thursday, August 28, 2008

Positional Analysis: Linebackers...

Outside Linebackers

1. Ernie Sims: Coming into his own in his 3rd year, Sims may be the best weak-side backer in the NFL right now. Last year Lions opponents gained just 48 yards on 13 carries on sweep plays with Sims at the point of attack, with a big 25 yard gainer on just one play. His play against the pass is improving by the day. There isn't anything he can't do. He is the Lions best defensive player.

2. Alex Lewis: Underrated, and underappreciated, Lewis gets a chance to start at the strong side, where his speed and heart can make up for his lack of size. He's really a speed guy, and one of the Lion's best blitzers, he doesn't get the chance to blitz often enough. I also think he'd be an interesting guy to line up and rush the passer on third down, but his speed is also needed downfield. He's also one of the Lions best special teams performers on the coverage units.

3. Anthony Cannon: Another speed backer in the mold of Lewis, but not as athletic, Cannon has made his presence known on special teams, which should keep him on the roster. He has terrific straight line speed, but has issues moving laterally. He'll backup the weakside (Lewis would move over if a long term injury occurs to Sims), so he won't be needed on defense much.

4. Leon Joe: Joe has some experience in the league, since he was drafted in 2004 in the fourth round out of Maryland by the Bears. He's moved around, playing for the Bears, Cardinals and Bills before signing with the Lions, and he might have a job. His play has been extremely steady in the preseason, and he could backup at the strong side.

Middle Linebackers

1. Paris Lenon: Lenon is a really solid guy, just not the flashy type. Still, he's extremely productive, with 161 tackles last year, two sacks, and one INT that he ran back for 61 yards. He should start whether he's at MLB, or at the strong side when Dizon is up to speed.

2. Jordon Dizon: He's starting to come on, and show why the Lions were so high on him at the draft. I think the Lions are doing the right thing, force-feeding him MLB, instead of switching positions to match their needs. Alex Lewis is a good enough player that they don't have to do that. This experience will work out well in the future, when starts to know the defense, and knows what offenses are doing. MLB is a tall order for any rookie.

3. Buster Davis: Almost written off after a forgettable rookie year when he was one of the few third rounders cut in their first training camp, Buster Davis has played extremely well, and has perhaps forced his way onto the roster with his strong play in the preseason. Last year seems to have motivated Davis in a big way. He's lost weight, and gained focus. He's a squatty type, built perfectly for this defense. And he's turning into a nasty player, which is a good thing.

Positional Analysis: The Lions have long struggled at LB, but they are improved. They have plenty of speed, but lack the size, which isn't really important in this defense. It will be telling out of the gate how much they improved when they play three straight tough running teams; the Falcons, Packers, and 49ers.

Wednesday, August 27, 2008

My Projected 53 man roster for the Lions...

My projected 53:
QB (3) Kitna Orlovsky Stanton
RB (4) Smith Bell Pinner Cason (Ret)
FB (1) Felton
WR (5) Williams Johnson McDonald Furrey Ellis
TE (4) Gaines Campbell (will be #1 when back) FitzSimmons Owens (Campbell insurance only)
OL (9) Backus Mulitalo Raiola Peterman Cherilus McCollum Ramirez Foster Scott
DL (9) White DeVries Avril Alama-Francis Redding Darby Cody Fluellen Smith
LB (7) Sims Lenon Dizon Lewis Cannon Joe
DB (9) Kelly Bodden Fisher Smith Smith Alexander Bullocks Pearson Blue
ST (3) Hanson Harris Muhlbach
Practice squad (8) Standeford Clark Harris Drew Henson Ramzee Robinson LaMarcus Hicks Buster Davis HardieCohen

Friday, August 15, 2008

Positional Analysis: Defensive Tackles...

1. Cory Redding: The unquestioned leader of the defensive line is now Redding, who has started in every game since 2004. His sack production fell from a career high 8 in 2006 to a low of 1 last year, but he was productive nonetheless. He set a career high in tackles with 78 (47 solo), and his 30 defeated run blocks, and 32.3 defeated block percentage (per K.C. Joyner, ESPN Insider) were Pro-Bowl type numbers for a Defensive Tackle.

2. Charles Darby: Although he's being brought in to start, Darby will not have "starter's minutes", meaning he will be used mostly on run downs, and will leave the field when pass rushers are needed. This will keep him fresh, and he should keep others fresh by being the warrior type on tougher downs and on the goalline. I wasn't expecting much of him, but he does show better than expected movement laterally. He can get up and down the line well, but doesn't rush the passer well.

3. Shaun Cody: Although it looked like he might have been the odd man out, Cody is probably going to make the roster, and will be given a chance because of his versatility to earn another contract. This is a make or break season for Cody, and he knows it. He got 1.5 sacks in a game as a rookie against the Panthers, and hasn't had one since.

4. Langston Moore: Moore came out of nowhere, and produced better than Shaun Cody, and got more snaps as a result. Like Cody, he had 37 tackles, but had four sacks, and one forced fumble. His penchant for big plays made him a personal favorite. He needs to play better against the run, since his aggressiveness gets him out of position at times, so he needs to play under control more often.

5. Andre Fluellen: Coach Rod Marinelli obviously saw something he liked from Fluellen, since he flew to FSU to witness Fluellen's predraft workout, and also had Fluellen visit Allen Park before the draft. He has shown his quick step already, as he recorded a sack in the first exhibition game against the Giants. He also has shown that he was stout against the run, as teams averaged only 1.74 yards per carry when they ran at him in his Sr. season at Florida State. He could very well become a force in a year.

6. Landon Cohen: Considerably undersized for a DT, but maybe not in the Lions system. Cohen has shown enough that he's a strong candidate for the practice squad, since there probably isn't a spot for him right now. I foresee him making the practice squad, and being activated due to an injury. Other teams may view him as a 3-4 left end.

Positional Analysis: I see this as a solid position for the Lions, as they have good depth right now, and have added some young talent. They are not at the level with the rest of the division, where DT is the strength of all the teams in the NFC North.

Wednesday, August 13, 2008

Positional Analysis: Defensive Ends...

Right End

1. Dewayne White: White has had a solid five year career so far, as he begins his second year starting full time for the Lions. He played extremely well last year until an injury in the Denver Bronco game slowed him down. He had only one sack in the second half of the year, which partly explains some of the Lions defensive problems. For the year, he had 6.5 sacks, although three were against his former team, Tampa Bay. He's also shown that he has superb awareness, as he has shown up big in coverage when dropping back. The Lions need him to provide double digit sack production.

2. Cliff Avril: Although viewed as a tweener entering the draft, Avril had shown during the NFL combine that he was to be reckoned with a 4.5 showing in the forty yard dash, far outdistancing his competition. One would think that he's stuck with the "third down pass rusher" label, but he does have good secondary moves. He has shown during practice, though, that when he's stopped, he's done for good; so he's got to fight that out. He'll get a couple of sacks just from pure speed, but he's also got to produce at other times. He could be a future starter at right defensive end, which is a huge return for a late third round pick.

3. Corey Smith: He has shown that he's a very valuable player, but is also a redundant player, and may get cut if the Lions are in a tight roster squeeze. He'll be 29 in October, so his spot could go to a younger player, although Smith's value is felt on third down and on special teams.

Left End

1. Jared DeVries: Now in his 10th year, DeVries has battled his way from being inactive in the first two games last year, to being one of the Lions most valued linemen. He had 6.5 sacks, with 3 coming in a home win against Chicago (sound familiar?), so he needs to maintain production throughout the season. He will probably see less time on passing downs, due to the development of Ikaika Alama-Francis. This should keep him fresher later in the year, since his production let down later in the year last year.

2. Ikaika Alama-Francis: Drafted in the second round last year as a raw project, Alama-Francis may start to show his vast potential soon, as he transitions to becoming a key member along the defensive line. He is much more physically talented than Jared DeVries, and he needs to produce and become the go-to guy at left defensive end. If he is "the guy" at left end, and Avril is "the guy" at right end, then the Lions are set up pretty well in the future. If not, the Lions need to keep working at it, although you can never have enough good pass rushers. Ask the New York Giants.

Wednesday, August 6, 2008

Positional Analysis: Offensive Line...

Tackles

1. Jeff Backus, LT: This is the perfect offense for Backus, who thrived in zone blocking schemes at Michigan. He has started every game at left tackle since he's been drafted in 2001, which is 112 straight games, and he hasn't missed many snaps, either. This is underrated when considering his contributions. He's given up sacks, he's had some rough moments, but for him to be so dependable is what being a top lineman is all about.

2. Gosder Cherilus, RT: When he was selected, many people questioned the move, but drafting Cherilus made sense, and is paying dividends right away, since the other two players mentioned as picks (Otah and Albert) are injured right now. Cherilus is a better fit for what the Lions need. He moves much better than Otah, and has experience as a right tackle, which Brendan Albert does not. During college, he was a better prospect as a junior at right tackle, and struggled as a left tackle, when Boston College switched to the zone blocking scheme, which the Lions will run this year. He has been known to play high when he gets tired, so his conditioning is a key. He'll probably be better early in games than late, so the Lions will have to keep a close eye on him. Also it is impressive that he has played in every game for BC since being redshirted in 2003. He's very dependable.

3. Jonathon Scott, LT/RT: Scott is one of my favorite players, he's a terrific blocker. His biggest problem is that he's not dependable, that he's had some injury problems for two years. He did start the game against Denver last year when the running game rolled up 130 yards, and only allowed one sack in a blowout win. What really has impressed me about Scott is that he has played against the Packers, and has done well against Aaron Kampman, who's one of the best defensive linemen in football. His level of play is pretty high, and he could handle either tackle spot if he could only stay healthy.

4. George Foster, RT: Foster can block, but his mental lapses have killed his team too many times for him to be trusted. He has a history of missed assignments and false starts that have led to his benching for two straight seasons. When he's on, he's pretty good, but it would also give you a false sense of security. He can't make this team.

Guards

1. Edwin Mulitalo, LG: Mulitalo has come in and solidified a problem position at left guard. The only problem is that he'll be 34 years old on opening day, but his long term replacement is probably on the roster. He's experienced with zone blocking schemes, although he seems to be a bit too wide-bodied for the offense. The offense does require athletic guards that can block second level (linebackers) players.

2. Stephen Peterman, RG: Peterman was a good player coming out of college, and the Cowboys hastiness to release him after knee problems has been a blessing for the Lions, as Peterman has become a dependable starter for the Lions. He's more of a battler than a finnesse player, and provides the Lions with a physical presence on the right side.

3. Frank Davis, LG: Davis is closing in on the starters, and will probably see some action when the live bullets fire after the season opens. He's a pretty solid athlete, and looks real good in practice. He could probably hold down the fort for most teams at left guard, and he's a very good value as a backup. My guess is that he'll take over Mulitalo's spot eventually, and will probably run away with the job. He has great feet, and a nice find for the scouting department.

4. Manny Ramirez, RG: Ramirez is currently just recovered from a minor knee injury in camp. This is a different offense than he's ever seen before, as he played in a stretch offense at Texas Tech, and Martz's offense last year. He's a big unknown, but he's built pretty well to withstand the battles at right guard. This is a big preseason for him, to get noticed, and stay active for games.

5. Corey Hulsey: Hulsey has been in the league since 2001, so he's no spring chicken. He has connections to Jim Colletto, as he played for him in 2005 when Colletto was the offensive line coach for the Raiders. He hasn't played much in the NFL, and doesn't figure to make the Lions roster.

6. Carroll Madison, LG/C: He's been notable in camp because of his versatility. He went undrafted, but is probably in line to make the team on the practice squad, as he would be pretty valuable as a backup for Raiola at center. He started in 38 straight games at Syracuse, so he's proven he's a dependable player.

Center

1. Dominic Raiola: He's started for 96 straight games for the Lions, and is a proven performer. He's also perfect for the Lions transition to the zone blocking scheme. In the past, the Lions haven't carried an extra center, since Raiola has been so dependable. That seems to have changed since they no longer have Damien Woody as a fallback plan, so they signed a couple of backup centers for camp.

Monday, August 4, 2008

Positional Analysis: WR's/TE's...

Wide Receivers

1. Calvin Johnson: Although he experienced some tough luck during his rookie season, Calvin Johnson remains one of the most talented players in all of football. He needs to learn how to stay healthy, and once he figures that out, the sky is the limit. His hands still need some work, but that's really nit-picking. Teams will soon figure out they can't bump him at the line; he's too fast for bigger corners, and too strong for smaller corners. This offense should take more of an advantage of his jumping abilities with fade routes in the red zone, as well as shorter routes that would allow him to break tackles in the secondary. He's due for a breakout season.

2. Roy Williams: Entering his contract year, Roy has proven that he's a top ten receiver in the NFL, and should reap the rewards after this season. It is important that the Lions re-sign him after this season, since replacing him would be impossible. He needs to stay healthy, since he missed four games with a minor knee injury that didn't require surgery last year.

3. Shaun McDonald: Currently on the PUP, McDonald is the Lions most effective slot receiver. He led the team in receiving last year, but with a change in offensive philosophy shouldn't see as much action. Still, he's in his contract year, and it would behoove the Lions to sign him after the season. He's only six months older than Williams, and provides the Lions with a top slot alternative down the road.

4. Mike Furrey: Furrey is an integral part of the Lions offense, as he provides important insurance for all receiver spots, and can play any position well. He caught 61 passes in 2007, but will probably catch fewer balls as the Lions will try to get the ball into their top receivers hands more often, but it doesn't demean his value at all. He's an important part of the Lions going forward, but will need to be replaced, since he's already 31 years old.

5. Devale Ellis: A big reason why the Lions selected Kenneth Moore in the draft is because of Ellis's injury history, but Ellis has outclassed the Lion's rookie in all facets so far. Ellis flashes his quickness during practice, and has shown during games that he can play in the league if healthy. If healthy, his roll with the team should grow, since he has the requisite quickness and youth. He's a lock to make the team as the Lions fifth receiver/returner right now.

6. Brandon Middleton: Probably is on the outside looking in for the Lions right now, and I don't believe he's eligible to be on the practice squad. He's a good competitor who can play in the league for another team that isn't so deep at receiver.

7. John Standeford: He's bounced around the league's practice squads since 2004, and is probably on his last legs in the league. He's not eligible for the Lions practice squad this year, but is a good practice player.

8. Kenneth Moore: In an otherwise excellent draft class, Moore is the one head scratcher of the bunch. He has not stood out in practice at all. The Lions might have thought they were getting a versatile performer who could return kicks and help out in the slot, but he has to show more than he has just to earn a spot on the practice squad. He's looking like a bad pick right now.

9. Taye Biddle: He flashes some speed, and is a practice squad candidate, although his hands leave alot to be desired. He does have a sleek, slender build that screams "speed".

Tight Ends

1. Dan Campbell: Currently is on the PUP, but is still primed to be a starter at some point when he returns from his elbow injuries. He's known as one of the top blocking TE's in the NFL, and his presence will help both the running game and passing game. He has great size.

2. Michael Gaines: Signed as a free agent this year, Gaines is a mountain of a man, who looks like a third tackle and is an excellent source of extra blocking for this years running game. Part of the Lions problems in the past with their blocking was that they put too much on their offensive line to block, and didn't give them enough help. Gaines is the type to help out in the red zone and short yardage. He moves ok, but that's not what he does best. He's very valuable to this team right now.

3. Casey FitzSimmons: Already in his sixth year with the Lions, and still giving the Lions a nice versatile performer who's their best receiver from the TE position. I suppose he'll be valuable on third down situations, and on special teams where he is quite valuable. He led the team with 20 special teams tackles last year.

4. Sean McHugh: As one of the Lions most versatile performers, should win a spot on the roster because of other's versatility as well. Since Jerome Felton can play as a halfback, as well as fullback, he can be a TE/FB and has been pretty helpful for the Lions. He's a solid blocker and a good pass catcher from both positions. He's very usuable, and can help the team.

5. John Owens: He's an extra player right now, and isn't seeing much time in practice. He's a good extra blocker should injuries strike, but he's not eligible for the practice squad, although it's concievable that he could make another NFL roster.

Positional Analysis: As the Lions move forward, they are pretty well stacked up at both receiver and TE positions. They don't have a superstar per se at the Tight end position, but very usable blockers who can catch as well. It's a position they will have to address in the future, but for now, they are in terrific shape. If the Lions re-sign Roy Williams, they should be set at wide receiver for years to come.

Positional Analysis: RB's/FB's...

Running Backs

1. Kevin Smith: It hasn't taken much time at all for Kevin Smith to make his mark on the team and show that he is a good value, and the Lions could have a franchise type Running Back with a third round pick here. If people knock him for his speed, he ran a 4.45 forty at the combine, and is tough to take down. He's a football player, through and through. Some people might knock the point he ran 450 times as a Senior, which is alot. He's run a similar style of offense in college and was extremely successful with it.

2. Tatum Bell: As the de facto #1 running back coming into camp, Bell is very possibly on his last legs in Detroit. With rookie Kevin Smith showing he can handle most responsibilities, there isn't a need for another RB who can't play special teams, a job Brian Calhoun, Artose Pinner, and Aveion Cason all do well. I'd be surprised if he made the team, actually.

3. Brian Calhoun: If the injuries are behind him (and that's a very big "if"), Calhoun could surprise as a multi-faceted, multi-functional backup who could also help out in returns. He needs to show the burst he showed when he ran a sub 4.4 at his pro day when he came out of Wisconsin. If he has the burst, he should make the team. If not, his spot should go to Cason.

4. Aveion Cason: Cason has been a steady pro, and has somehow remained in the league for 8 years after signing with the Rams as an undrafted free agent. He's a good kick returner, and his return abilities could win him the roster spot. It's possible that both he and Calhoun could make the team, although they have similar abilities. They can both help out in more areas than Tatum Bell, who to me, either wins the #1 job, or gets cut.

5. Artose Pinner: Pinner was signed as an insurance back, but I don't see the Lions needing to use him. This is a good sign for the Lions, who are in better shape that they could have imagined going into training camp. I don't see any way that Pinner will make the team, although he can help out on special teams.

Fullbacks

1. Jerome Felton: Although they haven't had a game yet, Jerome Felton figures to be a key figure in the Lions offense. It was thought that he wasn't a pure fullback when they drafted him, but his techniques are very sound, and he's also played in the zone blocking scheme in college. He also has inside running skills, and can catch the football. He could easily be projected as a game one starter at fullback for the Lions. Look for him to be a one back in large formations with extra tight ends in some formations. He's a good player.

2. Jon Bradley: Although listed at 310 pounds, Bradley has lost weight, and looks like he's under 300 pounds. He's not svelte, but has pretty decent feet. He doesn't have good hands, which could be his downfall. He's also pretty handy on special teams, working on the kick return unit, on the wedge. He has a good chance to make the team, I see the team carrying 3 runners (Smith, Calhoun and Cason) and 3 fullbacks (Felton, Bradley, and Shaun McHugh, who would double up as a TE).

Positional Analysis: When Kevin Jones got cut, I thought it was the end of the world for the Lions running game, but now I can see why they did it. Jones is on PUP currently for Chicago, but the Lions should know what direction they are headed in with their running game. They will carry either 3 RB's and 3 FB's; or 4 RB's and 2 FB's. I think they'll carry 3 and 3 for the reasons I listed above. One thing is for certain, they need to keep Smith and Felton healthy. I think Smith has a chance to be special.

Friday, August 1, 2008

Positional Analysis: QB's

1. John Kitna : John Kitna will turn 36 years old September 21st, so the Lions need to figure out where they are at with the QB's on hand. Kitna has his good points, and some downfalls, but his biggest issue is his doggedness to make a play when there isn't a play to be made. He turns the ball over too much, but will now supposedly be in a system to match his strengths, and lengthen his career. I do see him having more success as a play-action QB, with boots and plays that play to his strength. In Mike Martz's system, there was not much play action, but there will be now. One thing that is clear from watching the Lions practice is that they will run, or die trying.

2. Dan Orlovsky : Dan Orlovsky is in the last year of his rookie contract, and the Lions need to evaluate him hard. He's been a victim of circumstance, but he'll have a chance to show that he can manage a huddle and move a team. He's got great size (6'5", 230 lbs.), and a really nice arm. His accuracy is a problem sometimes, and he doesn't have great awareness in the pocket yet. He is unquestionably the #2 QB on the Lions right now; whether he's good enough to earn another contract has yet to be determined. Stay tuned.

3. Drew Stanton : Stanton has struggled in camp so far, but he looks the part of an NFL QB, and definitely has the necessary talents to be an NFL starting caliber QB. He actually moves very well in the pocket, and shows off better than average arm strength. Right now, his biggest problem is his accuracy, especially with medium, zone-type routes; balls that will turn into INT's. When he can air it out on deep outs, he's fine, although he doesn't throw a good deep ball yet. He has the tools and the savvy, but if he can't be more accurate, then he's not going to move up the board.

Positional Analysis: QB is a position in flux right now, and the Lions have plenty of options. I like what they're doing right now, giving plenty of practice reps to Orlovsky and Stanton, while letting Kitna get enough to stay sharp. This is a big year to evaluate the position, and there will be opportunities to improve the position next off-season.