Monday, April 13, 2009

Reading the tea leaves...

It's time to start separating the lies from the truth. I'm going to give my impression on what I think the teams are going to do. This isn't really a mock draft per se.
1. Lions- Matt Stafford, QB (backup plan- Jason Smith, OL)- I'm 90% convinced that Stafford will be signed and selected for the pick. The Lions aren't saying much, but the fact they haven't signed a backup QB speaks volumes right now.

2. Rams- Jason Smith, OL (backup plan- Eugene Monroe, OL)- I'm 100% convinced they will select a tackle, they don't have a good backup plan if they don't. They've made their plans obvious by releasing Pace, and not signing a LT.

3. Chiefs- Eugene Monroe, OL (backup plan- Aaron Curry, LB)- I'm not 100% sure about this, but the recent signing of Zach Thomas is a head scratcher. They could move Albert to LG, and reunite the Virginia left side. Scott Pioli does have connections with Virginia HC Al Groh, and would feel safe with this selection.

4. Seahawks- Aaron Curry, LB (backup plan- Mark Sanchez, QB)- If he's there, I believe the Seahawks are lying in wait to take Curry. Otherwise, this is a QB landing spot.

5. Browns- Michael Crabtree, WR (backup plan- Brian Orapko, DE)- I think the Browns absolutely feel a need to select Crabtree. I also think they could still trade Edwards for picks. They have a pass rushing need also.

6. Bengals- Andre Smith, OL (backup plan- Jeremy Maclin, WR)- The thing about the Bengals is they usually draft linemen high, and they don't scout well.

7. Raiders- Darrius Heyward-Bey, WR (backup plan- Jeremy Maclin, WR)- The Raiders won't select a player like Crabtree they don't have a time for, but they will select a player like DHB that they have top times on. I'm almost ready to call this a lock.

8. Jaguars- Jeremy Maclin, WR (backup plan- Michael Oher, OL)- The Jaguars have had issues with the WR position for a long time now, and this has become the achilles heel of their team. I don't see many room for trades yet, but anything can happen.

9. Packers- BJ Raji, DT (backup plan- Brian Orakpo, DE)- One thing about the current Packers administration is that they will draft a ton of defensive linemen year in and year out. Other wise, they don't show their cards, and play it close to the vest. Raji is a guess, based on their desire to go to a 3-4; where they can put him at nose.

10. 49ers- Mark Sanchez, QB (backup plan- Michael Oher, OL)- I'm either thinking they're playing it coy by deflecting off Sanchez, or they're obviously not and will take Oher. This is a hard read right now, but is also a strong trading spot for the Jets.

11. Bills- Everette Brown, DL (backup plan- Orapko and Oher)- I'm sure the Bills will be looking to upgrade their pass rush, unless they trade their LT; then they would select Oher. If they can sign him, they'll take the best pass rusher.

12. Broncos- Brian Orapko, DL (backup plan- Robert Ayers and Jarron Gilbert, DL)- With everyone convinced the Broncos will want a young QB, I'm not sure that will happen until later in the draft. They have ammo to move up, but I think they will want to draft heavily on the defensive side.

13. Redskins- Michael Oher, OL (backup plan- Ayers and Gilbert)- I'm pretty convinced they'll select Oher if they don't trade back, which they don't usually do.

14. Saints- Chris Wells, RB (backup plan-)- I'm almost 100% sure this will happen. Lock this one up, unless there's a trade involving the Chargers.

15. Texans- Brian Cushing, LB (backup plan- Moreno, RB)- This pick makes sense, although I like Zac Diles. Cushing would play strong, and Diles would backup at both SLB and MLB.

16. Chargers- Knowshon Moreno, RB (backup plan- Tyson Jackson, DL)- This is a talented team without any obvious needs, and they'll have to replace LT2 soon. Sproles isn't an everydown backer in their eyes, and their GM has let that be known.

17. Jets- Josh Freeman, QB (backup plan-)- This is such a natural fit, so I'll call this a lock now.

18. Broncos- Jarron Gilbert, DL (backup plan- Brandon Pettigrew, TE)- Gilbert's star is rising fast, and he's almost a lock to go in the first round. I wouldn't be shocked if the Lions didn't love him at #20. He's very versatile, and has a body he can grow into. Very projectable.

19. Bucs- Robert Ayers, DL (backup plan- Maybin)- This is not a spot where I see Harvin going. Ayers could go much earlier. He's a good player on a bad college team, and those players usually fall.

20. Lions- Rey Maualuga, LB (backup plan- Malcolm Jenkins, Peria Jerry)- The Lions have let it be known how badly they need a MLB by not carrying one on their current roster, so they'll need to draft more than one. If Gilbert is available, I believe the Lions could also pop him, plus there's a strong chance they'll trade down here. I believe they wouldn't be crazy about the players available here.

21. Eagles- Shawn Nelson, TE (backup plan- Jenkins)- The Eagles have a need at TE, and Nelson is an underrated player. Some players are falling.

22. Vikings- Alex Mack, C (backup plan-)- The Vikings need a center obviously, and they do draft linemen high often.

23. Patriots- Aaron Maybin, DL (backup plan- Jenkins)- Still, not a single CB has been taken. There will be a ton taken in the 2nd round, though.

24. Falcons- Brandon Pettigrew, TE (backup plan- Jenkins)- I believe this could be a lock, if Pettigrew is there.

25. Dolphins- Pat White, QB (backup plan- Clay Mathews)- I believe they are crazy enough to pull this off.

26. Ravens- Malcolm Jenkins, CB/S (backup plan- Mathews)- The dam breaks! Finally, a corner! (if he ends up at corner, of course).

27. Colts- Peria Jerry, DT (backup plan- Vontae Davis)- As long as they have a need at DT (which seems like a long time), they'll have to continue to take them. This is a good fit.

28. Eagles- Clay Mathews, LB (backup plan- Barwin)- Mathews has some versatility, and could give the Eagles alot of options. Kind of surprised he's still there.

29. Giants- Kenny Britt, WR (backup plan- Robiskie)- The Giants have been connected with Britt, although they are famous for sticking to their board regardless of position.

30. Titans- Ziggy Hood, DT (backup plan- Barwin)- The Titans have to replace Haynesworth, and Hood's a good player.

31. Cards- Donald Brown, RB (backup plan-)- The Cards have a strong need for a full-time RB. Brown is solid.

32. Steelers- William Beatty, OL (backup plan-)- For a great team, they have an ordinary line. I'd be shocked if they didn't go linemen here.

33. Lions- Sean Smith, CB (backup plan- Connor Barwin, DL)- Smith is versatile, and could be slotted in at corner or safety. He can run with bigger WR's, and will get alot of practice against Johnson.

Friday, March 6, 2009

My futile attempt at a seven round mock draft...

Lion's picks:

1. Matt Stafford, QB
1b. Rey Maualuga, LB
2. William Beatty, LT
3. Cornelius Ingram, TE
3b. Dorell Scott, DT
5. Mike Wallace, WR
6. Stanley Arnoux, LB
6b. Lydon Murtha, OL

I expect the Lions to receive 3 comp picks; one in the fourth, sixth, and seventh rounds.

Wednesday, February 25, 2009

My list of the top 100 prospects in the 2009 draft...

1. Matt Stafford, QB; UGA: Much has been debated as to his ability to become a top QB, but he is to me the most talented player in the draft. He just turned 21 years old, and is one of the most talented QB's I've ever seen. He has a big arm, and plays with a moxie of a more experienced player. He has big game experience, and is 3-0 in bowl games at Georgia.
2. Aaron Curry, LB; Wake Forrest: Easily the best defensive player in this year's draft, Curry can be found in every play during a Wake game. He's never far away from the action. He destroyed the combine, showing elite level athleticism to show that he'll be a force to be reckoned with at the next level. For some teams, he'll prove more valuable at the will, but I believe he'll move inside to the mike, where he'll cause havoc.
3. B.J. Raji, DT; BC: Although not quite up to the talent level of the top two DT's from 2008's draft (Glenn Dorsey and Sedrick Ellis); Raji is no walk in the park for the opposition. He has an excellent motor, and plays with a chip on his shoulder. He does split gaps, so there are times when he misses, but he does hit home runs from time to time.
4. Jason Smith, LT, Baylor: It's hard to believe that he's only played left tackle for three years, so he does show an upside. At this moment, I believe Eugene Monroe to be the better player by the slimmest of margins; although projecting down a few years I feel that Smith will have the better career.
5. Eugene Monroe, LT, Virginia: He is pretty technically sound, and takes good care of his QB. He'll be known as a reliable LT, just not an elite one. I feel he's pretty close to his ceiling, and should be able to start from day one.
6. Michael Crabtree, WR, Texas Tech: The fact that he isn't able to provide a 40 time doesn't bug me as much as the fact that his height is only 6'1", when it was thought that he was two inches taller. There are some signs of buyer beware with him, such as the foot injury. He's a really good player, I just don't think that he's a great player.
7. Everette Brown, DE, FSU: I've used Andre Carter comps on Brown before, and I believe that is who he is. The difference between him and Orakpo is that he's got more moves, and plays more physically at the point of attack. They're both superior ends/olb's. Transitional types.
8. Brian Orakpo, DE, Texas: Orakpo comes at you from the same direction, but you have to be on your horse to catch up with him. He does ride out of the picture often, so he has to improve on playing the run.
9. Jeremy Maclin, WR, Missouri: Maclin might have more natural talent than the more heralded Michael Crabtree, but he also needs to show more consistancy catching the ball. He has good ability in the open field, and has return capabilities.
10. Knowshon Moreno, RB, Georgia: I see Moreno as a cross between Reggie Bush and Kevin Jones, if that is possible. He's not a franchise back per se, but he's a solid #1 type who can carry the mail and catch out of the backfield.
11. Brian Cushing, LB, USC: Cushing is exactly the same type of player that Chad Greenway is, and could be a Pro-Bowler type soon. He can help alot of teams in a lot of ways.
12. Brandon Pettigrew, TE, Oklahoma State: He's a throwback to the type of TE that used to be more prevelant back in the day. He's the type that you can use against the top pass rushers to help in pass protection, he has great hands, and can help in the passing game with big catches; and he also blocks well in the running game. He's a rare bird, a three down TE.
13. Mark Sanchez, QB, USC: My instincts tell me that this is too high for him, but he can be a solid system QB if he goes to the right team. There is a huge gap between him and Stafford. Sanchez needs to go to a west coast type offense.
14. Andre Smith, T, Alabama: This is as far as he should fall, although he'd be a tough cat to pull the trigger on. If anybody shouldn't be invited to New York for the draft, it's Smith.
15. Aaron Maybin, DE/OLB, Penn State: He jumps out with his super first step. He reminds me of Terrell Suggs. Very similar 40 times, and very similar players.
16. Vontae Davis, CB, Illinois: He's got to show that he's not going to bust like his brothers, but it would concern me. He's a good player, who should be better based on his athletic ability.
17. Chris Wells, RB, OSU: He's a safe player to take, as long as he is healthy. He got nicked up a bit, but nothing too major. He reminds me of Jamal Lewis.
18. Peria Jerry, DT, Mississippi: He has alot of energy for a 300 lber, and is a pretty good slasher type.
19. Michael Oher, T, Mississippi: He's extremely similar to Gosder Cherilus. Even makes the same mistakes, although he's a better left tackle than Gos.
20. Tyson Jackson, DE, LSU: A ready made player that will have a predictable career playing two downs, and getting a couple of sacks, but plays the run extremely well on the left side.
21. Rey Maualuga, LB, USC: He isn't quite the player I thought he'd be, but he is solid if he healthy's up. He hit a snag at the combine when he reinjured a sore hammy. He'll be a consistant MLB who isn't going to help in passing downs.
22. Malcolm Jenkins, CB, OSU: He's a cover two corner who might move to FS in the NFL. He has good size and can hit, but he can get exposed.
23. Alphonso Smith, CB, Wake Forest: He's Dre Bly reincarnated. Exactly the same type of ball snatching ball hog who's good for about 7-8 int's per year. Great ball skills, but a better tackler than Bly.
24. Larry English, DE/OLB, N.Illinois: He's got a nice motor with nice pass rush skills. He'd be higher if he projected to play better against the run.
25. Leshean McCoy, RB, Pitt: Really the most legit HR threat in this draft, he also might turn out to be J.J. Arrington.
The rest...
26. Alex Mack, C, Cal 27. Hakeem Nicks, WR, UNC 28. Clint Sintim, OLB, UVa 29. Robert Ayers, DE, Tennessee 30. Sean Smith, CB, Utah 31. Darrius Heyward-Bey, WR, Maryland 32. Clay Matthews, LB, USC 33. Louis Delmas, S, WMU 34. William Beatty, LT, UConn 35. Percy Harvin, WR, Florida 36. Max Unger, C, Oregon 37. Eric Wood, C, Louisville 38. Donald Brown, RB, UConn 39. Brian Robiskie, WR, OSU 40. Shawn Nelson, TE, So.Miss 41. Nate Davis, QB, Ball State 42. Connor Barwin, DE/TE/LB, Cinci 43. James Laurinaitis, LB, OSU 44. D.J. Moore, CB, Vandy 45. Evander Hood, DT, Missouri 46. Eben Britton, RT, Arizona 47. Jarron Gilbert, DE, San Jose St. 48. Brandon Lewis, CB, Oregon State 49. Darrius Butler, CB, UConn 50. Ron Brace, DT, BC 51. Zack Follett, LB, Cal 52. Michael Johnson, DE, GTU 53. Rashad Johnson, S, Alabama 54. Asher Allen, CB, Georgia 55. Kenny Britt, WR, Rutgers 56. Kenan Lewis, CB, Oregon State 57. Pat White, QB, WVU 58. Jasper Brinkley, LB, South Carolina 59. Andre Brown, RB, NCState 60. Darry Beckwith, LB, LSU 61. James Casey, TE, Rice 62. Marcus Freeman, OLB, OSU 63. Juaquin Iglesias, WR, Oklahoma 64. Mohammed Massaquoi, WR, Georgia 65. Duke Robinson, OL, Oklahoma 66. Jared Cook, TE, South Carolina 67. Josh Freeman, QB, Kansas State 68. Scott McKillop, LB, Pitt 69. Rashad Jennings, RB, Liberty 70. Deon Butler, WR, Penn State 71. Jon Luigs, C, Arkansas 72. Louis Murphy, WR, Florida 73. Mike Thomas, WR, Arizona 74. Antoine Caldwell, OL, Alabama 75. Patrick Chung, S, Oregon 76. Cody Brown, DE/LB, UConn 77. Maurice Evans, DE, Penn State 78. Fili Moala, DT, USC 79. Victor Harris, CB, VT 80. William Moore, S, Missouri 81. David Bruton, S, Notre Dame 82. Kory Sheets, RB, Purdue 83. Glen Coffee, RB, Alabama 84. Cornelius Ingram, TE, Florida 85. Travis Beckum, TE, Wisconsin 86. Tyronne Green, OL, Auburn 87. Jamon Meredith, OL, South Carolina 88. Mike Mickens, CB, Cinci 89. Sen'Derrick Marks, DT, Auburn 90. Javon Ringer, RB, MSU 91. Paul Kruger, DE, Utah 92. Lawrence Sidbury, DE, Richmond 93. Kyle Moore, DL, USC 94. Dannell Ellerbe, LB, Georgia 95. Tyrone McKenzie, LB, South Florida 96. CQ Shipley, C, Penn State 97. John Phillips, TE, Virginia 98. Phil Loadholt, OL, Oklahoma 99. Terence Taylor, DT, UM 100. Darcel McBath, S, Texas Tech

Monday, February 16, 2009

Senior Bowl Positional Detail: Safety

North Squad:

1. William Moore, 6-00.1, 223 lbs.- He really struggled all week long, and his ranking is falling fast. Doesn't have the size necessary to move to LB, although that could happen. Gets lost in coverage.
2. Patrick Chung, 5-11.1, 207 lbs.- He had an outstanding week, and showed great awareness and ball skills. He might not be the best athlete, but his preparedness is top notch. He's always where he needs to be.
3. Louis Delmas, 5-11.2, 197 lbs.- He's slowly moving up to the top of the safety class, although I remain skeptical. He is very good in coverage, although his ball skills need to improve. He needs to continue his good Sr.Bowl week with an outstanding combine to clinch the top spot, although this isn't the best class of safeties.
4. David Bruton, 6-01.6, 210 lbs.- Very good size, will have to see what his speed is. Always seems to be a day late and a dollar short, but I think he needs to move closer to the line, and be an "in the box" type.

South Squad:

1. Derek Pegues, 5-09.3, 193 lbs.- For his size, he likes to get his nose dirty. He has decent coverage skills, and can tackle.
2. Chip Vaughn, 6-01.0, 218 lbs.- He struggled in space with coverage, and didn't tackle well. He needs a good combine.
3. Michael Hamlin, 6-02.0, 207 lbs.- He's got a nice nose for the football, and makes plays. He's either a mid 2nd to an early third rounder.
4. Rashad Johnson, 5-11.4, 195 lbs.- Very experienced, very steady player with some ball skills. He makes plays. Solid second rounder.

Senior Bowl Positional Detail: Corners

North Squad:

1. Darius Butler, 5-10.1, 178 lbs.- Moves great, but doesn't have great ball skills. This will be his downfall, since he does everything else well.
2. Victor "Macho" Harris, 5-10.7, 186 lbs.- Plays much bigger than his size would indicate. Plays fearlessly, with a chip on his shoulder. He's the type that needs to be drafted based on his attitude. He rubs off well on other players. He's another rat. He knows what he needs to do to get better. One of my favorite players.
3. Deangelo Smith, 5-10.4, 191 lbs.- Leaves you wanting more on the playing field. Doesn't play the ball well, doesn't play his man extremely well. Didn't tackle extremely well. He was disappointing during the Sr.Bowl.
4. Keenan Lewis, 6-00.5, 198 lbs.- Plays very nice press coverage. Very physically imposing. Can match up well with most receivers. Needs to improve ball skills.
5. Mike Mickens, 5-11.0, 176 lbs.- He has a nice pair of hands, but needs to play better in space. Better in press coverage than off-man.

South Squad:

1. Coye Francies, 6-00.2, 179 lbs.- Really underrated, and came into his own when he showed up in Mobile. Is definitely a cover two type, but shows athleticism and nice ball skills.
2. Alphonso Smith, 5-08.7, 193 lbs.- Might have been the best player at the Senior Bowl all week, along with B.J. Raji. Was extremely dominant in coverage. Outstanding ball skills that will define him. Great tackler, there isn't much more to ask for from the corner position.
3. Ellis Lankster, 5-09.1, 191 lbs.- Struggled in coverage a bit, but doesn't lack in the effort category. Moves very well, and plays alot of press. Needs to play better in space.
4. Domonique Johnson, 6-01.4, 192 lbs.- Great size/speed combo. Very raw skills-wise. Might be a late bloomer type. Must keep an eye on him.
5. Sherrod Martin, 6-00.6, 197 lbs.- Also has great size and speed. Flashed during coverage drills. Showed some hutzpah.

Senior Bowl Positional Detail: Linebackers

North Squad:

1. Nik Harris, 6-02.0, 233 lbs.- It looked like he took well to the position switch, which is good for him to show he can accept coaching easily. He didn't look out of place, and I'd be surprised if he wasn't drafted high 2nd as a LB.
2. Scott McKillop, 6-01.0, 243 lbs.- He takes really nice angles, and moves well through the junk. He's underrated in my book. He also has nice size, and will be a great value if drafted too late. I see him as a mid rounder with upside.
3. Clint Sintim, 6-02.5, 249 lbs.- He's been getting too much pub for me, he always leaves me wanting to see more. If he goes in the first, he's being over valued. He's either a 4-3 sam, or a 3-4 middle.
4. Tyrone McKenzie, 6-01.7, 244 lbs.- He hasn't shown alot of explosion, but gets to some plays by anticipating well. He's not afraid to get his nose dirty, and is pretty versatile. Not a great athlete, but more of a grunt.
5. Marcus Freeman, 6-00.5, 235 lbs.- He seemingly gets in on every play. He's got a good nose for the ball, and does every thing well. He might not be as big as you'd like him to be, however.
6. Zack Follett, 6-01.6, 236 lbs.- When you talk about under the radar types, here's your man. Great hitter, and a great nose for the ball. Very instinctive, and a better than average athlete. I like him alot.

South Squad:

1. Brian Cushing, 6-03.1, 245 lbs.- Does everything extremely well. Projects to be an all-pro level LB who can be versatile to play many positions. Showed some pass rush ability.
2. Ashley Palmer, 6-01.4, 223 lbs.- Might be too small to play every down. Has some good quicks, and is good in coverage. Might be a third down type nickle backer.
3. Clay Matthews, 6-03.0, 246 lbs.- Showed more redeeming qualities than expected. Showed a great bull rush technique when rushing QB. Can cover, and play the run. Is moving up the ranks right now.
4. Darry Beckwith, 6-00.3, 233 lbs.- Is a nice little player who needs more size. He moves well, but could he put on the weight? Does better in coverage against the run. He's very experienced.
5. Rey Maualuga, 6-01.7, 254 lbs.- Is he a three down backer? No. Does he give you high quality reps when on the field? Yes. Is he good enough to justify such a high rating? That's the question that must be answered. I do personnally prefer James Laurinaitis, who plays with more balance. Maualuga is a solid first round player.
6. Moise Fokou, 6-01.1, 228 lbs.- He showed some athletic ability, but projects to a mid-lower round pick. He played well in the game.

Saturday, February 14, 2009

Senior Bowl Positional Detail: Defensive Line

North Squad:

1. B.J. Raji, 6-01.5, 334 lbs.- Great decision of his to show up and dominate with authority to show that he's an elite prospect. Nobody could block him.
2. Ron Brace, 6-03.0, 329 lbs.- I love how he attacks his blocker. He'll never be a great pass rusher, but he'll be a necessary cog in any defensive line.
3. Ziggy Hood, 6-03.1, 298 lbs.- He'll have to show he's got more than the spin move he showed at the Senior Bowl. He wasn't blocked while he was there, but there isn't as much room in the NFL. He has a chance to be a Darnell Dockett-type.
4. Will Davis, 6-02.3, 262 lbs.- He showed some pass rush ability, but he's not a top prospect. Likely a mid rounder type.
5. Larry English, 6-02.1, 254 lbs.- Doesn't have the size yet to be an every down DE. He has great explosion off the edge, but for now he's a one trick pony. He'd be fantastic as a 3-4 OLB.
6. Cody Brown, 6-02.1, 242 lbs.- He's likely to be a 3-4 OLB, and has good pass rush ability. He's also solid against the run.
7. Tim Jamison, 6-02.5, 265 lbs.- He has ok size, and is pretty good against the run. He shows flashes, but not enough to be highly regarded. He's a mid round candidate.
8. Mitch King, 6-01.4, 275 lbs.- The guards couldn't block him on the inside, and that might be his calling card; as a situational DT pass rusher. He's too short for the outside.

South Squad:

1. Fili Moala, 6-04.2, 303 lbs.- He's got the ability to be pretty versatile, and can play alot of positions. He's a strong 2nd round posibility. He had a good, not great, Senior Bowl week.
2. Corey Irvin, 6-03.0, 296 lbs.- He flashed at times, and showed that he's a legit mid round prospect.
3. Peria Jerry, 6-01.5, 290 lbs.- He's a tad undersized, but like the "whirling dervish" Z.Hood, he's got exceptional quickness inside, and can run sideline to sideline. Late first, early second is where he'll likely go.
4. Vance Walker, 6-02.0, 295 lbs.- Good size, not great. He's likely a backup, and a mid rounder. There are a lot of players like him in this draft.
5. Kyle Moore, 6-04.6, 264 lbs.- Very good size, and could play alot of positions in the NFL. His versatility will likely knock him up a notch, and he could go in the second round.
6. Robert Ayers, 6-03.1, 273 lbs.- His stock is soaring, and rightfully so. He can really rush the passer, and might be a steal if he goes too late in the first round.
7. David Veikune, 6-02.2, 255 lbs.- He reminds me of Tedi Bruschi in a way. He could be the type that plays alot of positions, and has some versatility to him. I don't think he'll be a lineman, I see him more as an OLB, even a MLB.
8. Lawrence Sidbury, 6-02.3, 267 lbs.- He's got some ability, but he's probably going to have to develop some. He did a good job at both the Sr Bowl, and EW Shrine game. Middle rounder.